Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe
Tennis prediction and statistical comparison using recent form, player ratings, serve and return performance, and surface records.
Match prediction
TennisEdge prediction: Tiafoe
Model probability
82.3%
Fair odds
1.21
Market odds
1.23
Value edge
+0.7%
Confidence
Very High
Current TennisEdge Today model output for this matchup. Betting value is assessed against the current market price.
Key statistical comparison
| Metric | Kei Nishikori | Frances Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | — | 1850.0 |
| Recent form | 40.0% | 70.0% |
| Serve points won | 62.3% | 65.8% |
| Return points won | 39.3% | 35.9% |
| Ace rate | 3.2% | 9.7% |
| Double fault rate | 2.7% | 2.8% |
| Break chances created | 7.2 | 7.0 |
| Break points saved | 59.2% | 63.5% |
Surface records
Hard
Kei Nishikori53.3%
Frances Tiafoe59.3%
Clay
Kei Nishikori44.4%
Frances Tiafoe59.6%
Grass
Kei Nishikori—
Frances Tiafoe58.3%