Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz
Tennis prediction and statistical comparison using recent form, player ratings, serve and return performance, and surface records.
Match prediction
TennisEdge prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
Model probability
77.4%
Fair odds
1.29
Market odds
1.33
Value edge
+1.9%
Confidence
High
Current TennisEdge Today model output for this matchup. Betting value is assessed against the current market price.
Key statistical comparison
| Metric | Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 2085.0 | 1894.0 |
| Recent form | 60.0% | 60.0% |
| Serve points won | 67.6% | 69.8% |
| Return points won | 41.9% | 35.9% |
| Ace rate | 6.4% | 13.8% |
| Double fault rate | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Break chances created | 9.1 | 6.5 |
| Break points saved | 65.5% | 67.6% |
Surface records
Hard
Carlos Alcaraz80.3%
Taylor Fritz68.8%
Clay
Carlos Alcaraz87.3%
Taylor Fritz63.0%
Grass
Carlos Alcaraz91.9%
Taylor Fritz75.6%