Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac
Tennis prediction and statistical comparison using recorded form, recent activity, player ratings, serve and return performance, and surface records.
Match prediction
TennisEdge prediction: Bublik
Model probability
57.2%
Fair odds
1.75
Market odds
1.56
Value edge
-7.1%
Confidence
Lean
Current TennisEdge Today model output for this matchup. Betting value is assessed against the current market price.
Key statistical comparison
| Metric | Alexander Bublik | Tomas Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1921.0 | — |
| Last-10 recorded win rate | 50.0% | 30.0% |
| Last match | Today | Today |
| Recent activity | 4 in 30 days | 3 in 30 days |
| Serve points won | 65.2% | 64.0% |
| Return points won | 35.1% | 38.2% |
| Ace rate | 14.2% | 6.6% |
| Double fault rate | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Break chances created | 5.6 | 6.9 |
| Break points saved | 63.6% | 61.8% |
Surface records
Hard
Alexander Bublik52.0%
Tomas Machac56.9%
Clay
Alexander Bublik51.7%
Tomas Machac52.8%
Grass
Alexander Bublik69.2%
Tomas Machac44.4%