Alex De Minaur vs Mariano Navone
Tennis prediction and statistical comparison using recent form, player ratings, serve and return performance, and surface records.
Match prediction
TennisEdge prediction: Alex de Minaur
Model probability
81.0%
Fair odds
1.23
Market odds
1.27
Value edge
+2.6%
Confidence
Very High
Current TennisEdge Today model output for this matchup. Betting value is assessed against the current market price.
Key statistical comparison
| Metric | Alex De Minaur | Mariano Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1966.0 | 1914.0 |
| Recent form | 40.0% | 70.0% |
| Serve points won | 64.9% | 59.0% |
| Return points won | 40.9% | 43.4% |
| Ace rate | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Double fault rate | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Break chances created | 8.0 | 8.8 |
| Break points saved | 61.0% | 55.6% |
Surface records
Hard
Alex De Minaur68.8%
Mariano Navone25.7%
Clay
Alex De Minaur60.7%
Mariano Navone56.5%
Grass
Alex De Minaur68.6%
Mariano Navone20.0%