Alex De Minaur vs Andrey Rublev
Tennis prediction and statistical comparison using recorded form, recent activity, player ratings, serve and return performance, and surface records.
Match prediction
TennisEdge prediction: Alex de Minaur
Model probability
50.8%
Fair odds
1.97
Market odds
1.85
Value edge
-3.1%
Confidence
Thin
Current TennisEdge Today model output for this matchup. Betting value is assessed against the current market price.
Key statistical comparison
| Metric | Alex De Minaur | Andrey Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1966.0 | 1985.0 |
| Last-10 recorded win rate | 70.0% | 60.0% |
| Last match | Today | Today |
| Recent activity | 6 in 30 days | 6 in 30 days |
| Serve points won | 64.9% | 66.7% |
| Return points won | 40.9% | 37.7% |
| Ace rate | 5.5% | 9.7% |
| Double fault rate | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Break chances created | 8.0 | 7.7 |
| Break points saved | 61.0% | 65.0% |
Surface records
Hard
Alex De Minaur68.8%
Andrey Rublev64.0%
Clay
Alex De Minaur60.7%
Andrey Rublev69.4%
Grass
Alex De Minaur68.6%
Andrey Rublev63.2%